Statistical Publication Histories of American Astronomers

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

We have considered the 2988 papers published in 194580 in three American journals by 115 astronomers who obtained Ph.D. `s in 194560. For the entire sample there are peaks in publication rates at the times of the Ph.D. award and 58 years later (tenure challenge?), and then, surprisingly, a constant output until at least 25 years following the Ph.D. Since some astronomers drop out of doing research, the remainder must be increasing their annual publication rate. There was a marked drop-out (9%) during the year of the Ph.D. award of people doing astronomical research and then a constant drop of 1.5% per year during the subsequent 21 years. If we divide the sample between the 13 astronomers who average more than ten 1000-word pages per author per year and the 102 who average less, we find different publication patterns. The more prolific astronomers show no peak outputs at the times of the Ph.D. and tenure awards, but a generally steadily increasing annual output until at least 27 years after the Ph.D.; the less prolific astronomers show pronounced thesis and tenure challenge peaks and then a constant output thereafter. The 11% of prolific astronomers initially account for 30% of the pages published and eventually for more than 65% of the annual total.

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