Laws of large numbers for epidemic models with countably many types

Details Laws of large numbers for epidemic models with countably many types Laws of large numbers for epidemic models with countably many types

2008-02-11

arxiv.org/abs/0802.1478v3

Annals of Applied Probability 2008, Vol. 18, No. 6, 2208-2238

Mathematics

Probability

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/08-AAP521 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Inst

Scientific paper

10.1214/08-AAP521

In modeling parasitic diseases, it is natural to distinguish hosts according to the number of parasites that they carry, leading to a countably infinite type space. Proving the analogue of the deterministic equations, used in models with finitely many types as a "law of large numbers" approximation to the underlying stochastic model, has previously either been done case by case, using some special structure, or else not attempted. In this paper we prove a general theorem of this sort, and complement it with a rate of convergence in the $\ell_1$-norm.

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