A new method for deriving incidence rates from prevalence data and its application to dementia in Germany

Details A new method for deriving incidence rates from prevalence data and its application to dementia in Germany A new method for deriving incidence rates from prevalence data and its application to dementia in Germany

2011-12-12

arxiv.org/abs/1112.2720v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Quantitative Methods

10 pages, 1 figure

Scientific paper

This paper descibes a new method for deriving incidence rates of a chronic disease from prevalence data. It is based on a new ordinary differential equation, which relates the change in the age-specific prevalence to the agespecific incidence and mortality rates. The method allows the extraction of longtudinal information from cross-sectional studies. Applicability of the method is tested in the prevalence of dementia in Germany. The derived age-specific incidence is in good agreement with published values.

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