Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astrophysics
Scientific paper
1999-06-24
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astrophysics
LaTeX2e (aastex.cls included); 41 pages text, 10 figures (on 11 pages); accepted by ApJ (to be published 1 Nov 1999, v. 525)
Scientific paper
10.1086/307817
The Ginga data for the gamma-ray burst GRB870303 exhibit low-energy dips in two temporally distinct spectra, denoted S1 and S2. S1, spanning 4 s, exhibits a single line candidate at ~ 20 keV, while S2, spanning 9 s, exhibits apparently harmonically spaced line candidates at ~ 20 and 40 keV. We evaluate the statistical evidence for these lines, using phenomenological continuum and line models which in their details are independent of the distance scale to gamma-ray bursts. We employ the methodologies based on both frequentist and Bayesian statistical inference that we develop in Freeman et al. (1999b). These methodologies utilize the information present in the data to select the simplest model that adequately describes the data from among a wide range of continuum and continuum-plus-line(s) models. This ensures that the chosen model does not include free parameters that the data deem unnecessary and that would act to reduce the frequentist significance and Bayesian odds of the continuum-plus-line(s) model. We calculate the significance of the continuum-plus-line(s) models using the Chi-Square Maximum Likelihood Ratio test. We describe a parametrization of the exponentiated Gaussian absorption line shape that makes the probability surface in parameter space better-behaved, allowing us to estimate analytically the Bayesian odds. The significance of the continuum-plus-line models requested by the S1 and S2 data are 3.6 x 10^-5 and 1.7 x 10^-4 respectively, with the odds favoring them being 114:1 and 7:1. We also apply our methodology to the combined (S1+S2) data. The significance of the continuum-plus-lines model requested by the combined data is 4.2 x 10^-8, with the odds favoring it being 40,300:1.
Fenimore Edward E.
Freeman Peter E.
Graziani Carlo
Lamb Don Q.
Loredo Thomas J.
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