On martingale approximations

Details On martingale approximations On martingale approximations

2007-08-30

arxiv.org/abs/0708.4183v2

Annals of Applied Probability 2008, Vol. 18, No. 5, 1831-1847

Mathematics

Probability

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/07-AAP505 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Inst

Scientific paper

10.1214/07-AAP505

Consider additive functionals of a Markov chain $W_k$, with stationary (marginal) distribution and transition function denoted by $\pi$ and $Q$, say $S_n=g(W_1)+...+g(W_n)$, where $g$ is square integrable and has mean 0 with respect to $\pi$. If $S_n$ has the form $S_n=M_n+R_n$, where $M_n$ is a square integrable martingale with stationary increments and $E(R_n^2)=o(n)$, then $g$ is said to admit a martingale approximation. Necessary and sufficient conditions for such an approximation are developed. Two obvious necessary conditions are $E[E(S_n|W_1)^2]=o(n)$ and $\lim_{n\to \infty}E(S_n^2)/n<\infty$. Assuming the first of these, let $\Vert g\Vert^2_+=\limsup_{n\to \infty}E(S_n^2)/n$; then $\Vert\cdot\Vert_+$ defines a pseudo norm on the subspace of $L^2(\pi)$ where it is finite. In one main result, a simple necessary and sufficient condition for a martingale approximation is developed in terms of $\Vert\cdot\Vert_+$. Let $Q^*$ denote the adjoint operator to $Q$, regarded as a linear operator from $L^2(\pi)$ into itself, and consider co-isometries ($QQ^*=I$), an important special case that includes shift processes. In another main result a convenient orthonormal basis for $L_0^2(\pi)$ is identified along with a simple necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a martingale approximation in terms of the coefficients of the expansion of $g$ with respect to this basis.

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