Requirements for solar predictions

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Predictions, Solar Activity, Solar Cycles, Solar Flares, Solar Radio Bursts, Solar X-Rays, Geomagnetism, Goes Satellites, Noaa Satellites, Solar Corpuscular Radiation, Solar Wind

Scientific paper

The types of data analyzed and disseminated by the Space Environment Services Center (SESC) and the Air Force Global Weather Central (AFGWC) are outlined. Manned by U.S. Air Force and NOAA personnel under the auspices of the DoD and the DoC, the services provide solar predictions on X-ray events, optical flares, radio bursts, high energy particle events, solar wind variations or geomagnetic activity, background radio flux and the general level of solar activity in terms of real-time data and probabilities of events. Sample forecast documents are provided for the various types of events. It is noted that new facilities are being planned or constructed to upgraded existing computing capabilities and to incorporate state-of-the-art predictive models of the solar processes being monitored.

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