Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Jan 1997
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1997nyasa.822..545b&link_type=abstract
Near-Earth Objects, the United Nations International Conference: Proceedings of the international conference held April 24-26, 1
Mathematics
Probability
4
Hazards, Collisions, Asteroid Detection, Asteroids, Cometary Collisions, Probability Theory, Surveys, Asteroid Collisions
Scientific paper
With the advent of expanded near-Earth object (NEO) surveys, the number of known close approaches to Earth will increase dramatically. For many of these objects, uncertainties in their preliminary orbits will result in calculations yielding nonzero probabilities of collision over the next century. An index system is proposed which places the hazard posed by any given close approach into an easily understandable context that allows simple and efficient communication between astronomers and the public.
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