Predicting the earth's future

Details Predicting the earth's future Predicting the earth's future

Oct 1986

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1986inns.iafcr....d&link_type=abstract

IAF, International Astronautical Congress, 37th, Innsbruck, Austria, Oct. 4-11, 1986. 9 p.

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astronomy

Earth (Planet), Man Environment Interactions, Planetary Evolution, Air Land Interactions, Air Water Interactions, Biosphere, Mathematical Models, Space-Time Functions

Scientific paper

The development of earth system models that will simulate the past and present and provide predictions of future conditions is essential now that human activities have the potential to induce changes in the planetary environment. Critical aspects of global change include its pervasiveness and ubiquity, its distribution in several distinct time-scale bands, and the interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land surface, and the terrestrial and marine biospheres. A model of the earth system on the scale of decades to centuries, developed by the Earth System Science Committee (NASA) with the strategy of dividing by time scale rather than discipline, is presented and the requirements for observations to support the implementation of the model are reviewed.

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