Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Oct 2008
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2008georl..3519604l&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 35, Issue 19, CiteID L19604
Mathematics
Probability
Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225)
Scientific paper
Daily temperature records from Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA are used to examine characteristics of temperature extremes from 1945 to 2006. Winter extreme temperatures are increasing at 2.0 degrees C/century compared to the rate of summer extremes of 0.8 degree C/century, which leads to a reduction of the annual temperature range. An even more intriguing result is that while summer peak is not changing, winter minimum and spring are arriving earlier by approximately 22 and 10 days/century, respectively. The results seem to suggest that the unequal seasonal distribution of greenhouse gases could be the cause for faster winter warming trend. The mean values of the scale and shape parameters of the Weibull probability density functions for winter and summer observations are identical. The Weibull distribution parameters derived in this study can be used to estimate the hottest and coldest daily temperatures for any given year provided the mean temperature is known.
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