Impacts on the Earth by asteroids and comets: assessing the hazard

Details Impacts on the Earth by asteroids and comets: assessing the hazard Impacts on the Earth by asteroids and comets: assessing the hazard

Jan 1994

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1994natur.367...33c&link_type=abstract

Nature, Volume 367, Issue 6458, pp. 33-40 (1994).

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Scientific paper

There is a 1-in-10,000 chance that a large (~2-km diameter) asteroid or comet will collide with the Earth during the next century, disrupting the ecosphere and killing a large fraction of the world's population. Although impacts of this magnitude are so infrequent as to be beyond our personal experience, the long-term statistical hazard is comparable to that of many other, more familiar natural disasters, raising the question of whether mitigation measures should be considered.

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