Other
Scientific paper
Oct 2011
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2011coska..41..175m&link_type=abstract
Contributions of the Astronomical Observatory Skalnaté Pleso, vol. 41, no. 2, p. 175-182.
Other
Sun: Solar Cycle, Sun: Prominences And Emission Corona, Sun: Predicting Minima/Maxima
Scientific paper
Predicting maxima and minima of solar activity cycles, including their magnitude, is important not only for a better understanding of the underlying physical processes on the Sun, but also from the point of view of solar-terrestrial relations. Such predictions employ a variety of well-know relations like those between even and odd cycles, or between the AA index and the Wolf number. Our prediction is based on the properties of large-scale meridional motions of prominences and the areas of enhanced intensities of the green line corona. We predict two maxima of cycle 24; first at the end of 2011, the other at the end of 2012. Although our method is unable to predict the magnitude of cycles, a relatively stable structural pattern of the above-mentioned meridional motions makes this method suitable for long-term predictions of the maxima/minima timings up to 2025.
Minarovjech Milan
Rusin Vojtech
Saniga Metod
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