Finding comets

Statistics

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

This paper investigates the statistics of cometary discovery and concludes that the discovery rate is increasing, not because more comets are coming close to the Earth, or because more people are actively seeking comets as time passes, but simply because more and more faint comets are being found. At this present time about 45 comets are being discovered per decade, there being about four long-period comets found for every short period one. If it were possible to discover all comets brighter than 11th magnitude, the discovery rate would be about 290 per decade. Change the limit to 16m and the rate goes up to 8700.

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