Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Aug 1989
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1989georl..16..795t&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 16, Issue 8, p. 795-797
Mathematics
Probability
13
Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Climatology
Scientific paper
The temperature record for the global surface air temperature indicates that six of the warmest years occurred in the period 1980-1988. Here we address the question on the likelihood that such an arrangement is simply a manifestation of the natural variability of the system. Our results indicate that the probability that such an arrangement will arise naturally is between 0.010 and 0.032.
Elsner James B.
Tsonis Anastasios A.
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