Long-term solar activity predictions

Statistics – Applications

Scientific paper

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Prediction Analysis Techniques, Solar Activity, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Variability

Scientific paper

The need for long term solar activity predictions is addressed. The spatial organization of solar activity is described including applications for predictions, and ancient evidence for solar variability. Methods of predicting sunspot numbers are discussed. The inherent accuracy of the methods varies considerably, but a typical error bar 20%. The accuracy of sunspot cycle predictions is considered along with long term predictions of great solar events.

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