Identification of the regime of the polar motion using coordinate data for 1900-1990

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

Analysis of the spectral power-density function and the Poincare method are used to identify the type of motion exhibited by the Earth's pole from 1900-1990. The former method allows identification of a quasi-periodic regime with two main frequencies - annular and Chandler. The existence of combinational frequencies in this spectrum and the broadening of the spectral peaks suggest a quasi-periodic regime making a transition to chaos. However, the appearance of a third independent frequency in the spectrum is necessary for such a transition. It is concluded that the identification of the polar-motion regime over the time interval considered is insufficient to predict the further evolution of the system over arbitrarily long times.

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