Cosmic rays near the heliospheric current sheet. II - An ensemble approach to comparing theory and observation

Statistics – Computation

Scientific paper

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Current Sheets, Galactic Cosmic Rays, Heliosphere, Interplanetary Magnetic Fields, Diffusion Coefficient, Modulation, Solar Cycles, Statistical Analysis, Sunspot Cycle

Scientific paper

A quantitative comparison is carried out between theoretical predictions and observations of the intensity of galactic cosmic rays near the interplanetary current sheet. Model calculations are compared with a statistical analysis of observations of galactic cosmic rays at the earth and the simultaneous position of the current sheet. Since the observations were made over a period of several years, the inclination of the current sheet varied considerably, and comparison with any one model calculation referring to a given inclination would not be appropriate. An ensemble of different current sheet inclinations are used to generate expected values with the model in order to make the analysis of the computations approximate the method used to analyze the data. Agreement is found between theory and observation at energies of the order of a few GeV.

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