Space weather forecast of radiation belt electrons

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Geomagnetic Field, Radiation Belts, Solar Wind

Scientific paper

Radiation belts show various patterns of evolution during a few days after a magnetic storm onset, and the prediction has been a difficult problem. Using a 10 year data set of the sun, solar wind, radiation belts, and geomagnetic field, we show that the outer radiation belt tends to be more dangerous for geosynchronous satellites than usual during storms associated with coronal holes, and that the outer radiation belt tends to be rather safe during storms associated with coronal mass ejections. In this paper, we report our new findings and introduce a practical aspect of space weather forecast of radiation belts for secure satellite operations.

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