Orbital perturbations on dust trails: predicting meteor storms

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Meteor Storms, Predictions

Scientific paper

The "dust trail technique" for calculating the occurrence of meteor storms is reviewed. It depends on the realisation (1) that the most highly structured, densest and youngest components of meteor streams are long, narrow trails, successive trails being created each time the active parent comet returns to perihelion; and (2) that gravitational perturbations, which are the dominant force in bringing meteoroids to intersect the Earth's orbit, are a function only of position along a trail, being the same for all particles within the trail cross section at a given position along the trail. The technique has been proved by the Kazan research group and others to work successfully for meteor outbursts in many different streams.

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