Prediction of the Leonid meteor storm in 1999

Details Prediction of the Leonid meteor storm in 1999 Prediction of the Leonid meteor storm in 1999

Feb 1999

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1999cha%26a..23..268w&link_type=abstract

Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics, Volume 23, Issue 3, p. 268-272.

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

5

Scientific paper

After redetermining the level of the Leonid shower in some years from available records, we have constructed the TE-C (time lag) versus CEOS (separation in space) diagram. We found that almost all the confirmed meteor storms in history are placed inside a square, its upper and lower boundaries inclined at a slope of about 14.7 m/s. The width of this square indicates the Leonid shower could be never seen on more than four consecutive years. With reference to this square, it seems likely that there will be showers in the years 1998-2000 and we may have a storm in 1999 with a Z H R about 2000-5000.

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