Gradients and phase velocities of ULF geomagnetic disturbances used to determine the source of an impending strong earthquake

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Scientific paper

Results of studying the behavior of the vectors of gradients and phase velocities of ULF geomagnetic disturbances ( F < 1 Hz) in the Japan seismic zone are presented. The gradient and phase velocity vectors along the Earth’s surface were determined using data of the group of three high-sensitivity three-component magnetovariation stations (MVC-3DS) located at triangle vertices at a small (˜5 km) distance from one another (magnetic gradiometer). Two such groups of stations were installed in 1999 southwest and southeast of Tokyo at a distance of ˜150 km from each other. It has been indicated that, several months before strong earthquakes ( M > 5), the values of gradients and phase velocities start anomalously changing, and directions toward sources of impending strong earthquakes appear in the distribution of gradient vector directions. Directions from sources of impending earthquakes appear in the distribution of phase velocity vector directions. It is proposed to use gradients and phase velocities of ULF and ELF geomagnetic disturbances as one of the factors in a short-term prediction of strong earthquakes.

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