Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Dec 1991
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1991nrai.rept.....r&link_type=abstract
Final Report, 27 Sep. 1990 - 26 Sep. 1991 Northwest Research Associates, Inc., Bellevue, WA.
Mathematics
Probability
Clouds, Comets, Earth Atmosphere, Remote Sensors, Ultraviolet Radiation, Vaporizing, Water Vapor, Auroras, Dayglow, Hypotheses, Probability Theory, Scanners
Scientific paper
Frank et al (1986) presented a very controversial hypothesis which states that the Earth is being bombarded by water-vapor clouds resulting from the disruption and vaporization of small comets. This hypothesis was based on single-pixel intensity decreases in the images of the earth's dayglow emissions at vacuum-ultraviolet (VUV) wavelengths using the DE-1 imager. These dark spots, or atmospheric holes, are hypothesized to be the result of VUV absorption by a water-vapor cloud between the imager and the dayglow-emitting region. Examined here is the VUV data set from the Auroral Ionospheric Remote Sensor (AIRS) instrument that was flown on the Polar BEAR satellite. AIRS was uniquely situated to test this hypothesis. Due to the altitude of the sensor, the holes should show multi-pixel intensity decreases in a scan line. A statistical estimate indicated that sufficient 130.4-nm data from AIRS existed to detect eight to nine such holes, but none was detected. The probability of this occurring is less than 1.0 x 10-4. A statistical estimate indicated that sufficient 135.6-nm data from AIRS existed to detect approx. 2 holes, and two ambiguous cases are shown. In spite of the two ambiguous cases, the 135.6-nm data did not show clear support for the small-comet hypothesis. The 130.4-nm data clearly do not support the small-comet hypothesis.
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